Washington, D.C. – In case you missed it, Club for Growth PAC released a poll showing Republican nominee Kari Lake trailing Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego by just 2-points in Arizona’s Senate race, well within the poll’s 4% margin of error. After recent polling published by the NRSC showed Lake and Gallego tied in the contest, Arizona’s Senate race is expected to be one of the closest races in the country this cycle and will likely decide which party controls the chamber in the 119th Congress. Ronald Hansen from Arizona Central covered the release in an exclusive report.
Click here to read the full coverage from Arizona Central.
STORY EXCERPTS:
Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Ruben Gallego led his Republican rival Kari Lake by 2 percentage points in a poll released Thursday by a conservative group that still sees the race as close.
The poll by the Club for Growth’s political arm comes on the heels of generally bad results for Lake’s campaign that pointed to a possible lopsided loss for her. It was taken earlier this week fully after the final piece of the reshaped Democratic presidential ticket was announced.
The poll showed Gallego leading Lake 48% to 46% with 3% of respondents choosing Green Party nominee Mike Norton and another 3% undecided. It has a 4-percentage point margin of error.
“The Arizona Senate race is neck-and-neck and one of the best pick-up possibilities for Republicans,” said David McIntosh, president of the Club for Growth Action.
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The nonpartisan FiveThirtyEight political website shows 24 polls other than the Club for Growth in the Arizona race since Sinema quit. Gallego has led in 21 of them with two ties. His average lead in those polls is nearly 5 percentage points.
In the nine polls taken in July and August, Gallego has led six times with two ties, including one from last week for the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
The one poll showing Lake ahead, by 1 point, was conducted by her campaign.
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Gallego’s lead has shifted over time and some of that polling has come from pollsters that work for Democrats or who support him.
But it has also included polls from Republican friendly firms, too.